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Donncha

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Donncha last won the day on July 10 2014

Donncha had the most liked content!

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About Donncha

  • Rank
    Transitions Legend!
  • Birthday 06/06/1972

Profile Information

  • Location
    Maroubra

Previous Fields

  • Year of first Tri race?
    2003
  1. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    Maybe. But if he is, he's *very* good at it to get away with it for so long. Even Bertie slipped up in 2010.
  2. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    Yeah, not a fan. I can't make him out. Here's what puzzles me. During the pre-biopassport years when it was still a free-for-all he was winning regularly, and now that much better controls are in place he's still winning regularly. We know he was doping pre-07 as he was caught in Puerto, but if he's never stopped, then how has he managed to dodge testing positive for 9 years now. The nature of the biopassport is that it the range gets tighter and tighter as more data is gathered, so Valverde's should allow minimal room for doping by this stage?
  3. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    Yes, the same Valverde. However, if Nibali was at 100% he'd have put way more time into Valverde. He's a better GT rider, always has been, especially in high mountains. Go back to the 2014 Tour where he won and look at some of the stage results. Nibali put >1min into Valverde on almost all the mountain stages and finished almost 8min ahead of him in GC. But no, that's not my only data point. There's plenty of other data out there if you want to look. Kruijswijk publishes his power data on Strava and it showed him climbing the last part of Agnello at 5.4W/kg for 34min. That's the bit where Nibali attacked and it was just him & Chavez left. So not exactly the 5.9-6W/kg you'd see in the Tour (and that Nibali has proven he can ride at). Timing also shows him climbing Risoul nearly 2min slower than the 2014 TDF and the guys who estimate wattages put him at about 5.64W/kg on Lombarde, so the data estimates we have still show Nibali riding 5-7% below what we know he's capable of. Also, during the first batch of mountain stages, when Nibali had his crisis and was completely shit, he still put 4:15 into Jungels and it probably would have been closer to 5:00 if he hadn't had a mechanical/bike change during the mountain TT. During the second batch of mountain stages, his comeback, he put 5:17 into Jungels, so it doesn't really look like he suddenly became superman, it more looks like he just didn't get any worse, whereas Chavez did. Look at Chavez's Vuelta last year too. He was in the lead around half-way and then lost time in the second half to finish 3:30 down. He's young, inexperienced with a weak team, up against someone who's won all three GTs, riding for the strongest team in the race, whose DS put riders put the road to work for him when he attacked. Chavez had no-one to support him. Besides, if he doped to recover after a bad patch, then surely he was doping all along, unless people really believe he was clean all along for his target race and then suddenly decided, **** it, I'll take some drugs after all!? If he was doping all along, why did he have a bad patch in the first place? In the end, Kruijswijk was the strongest rider in the race and would have won if he hadn't crashed. People look at Stage 16 and say "holy shit, Nibali came back from 4:43 down to win!!" which does look miraculous. But 3:00 of that deficit disappeared once Kruijswijk crashed. I would have liked Kruijsjwijk to win. After every GT there's always plenty of people who are happy to point out that the winner is a doper, and they may be right. I try to look at whatever evidence I can find aside from how the ride looked on TV, and although obviously none of the data is perfect I've been watching enough cycling for long enough to have a rough idea if a ride is obviously bullshit or not. I may be naive and end up with egg on my face in a few years, but so be it.
  4. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    I thought I was doomed too. Cancellara got sick before the prologue and did nothing, my secret sprint sensation Mareczko went home after stage three with zero points, Uran was MIA and then Zakarin pulled a TT straight out of the Chicken Rasmussen handbook just as he was about to take the Maglia Rosa Thankfully everyone got their shit together after that!
  5. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    Damn. Nizzolo's relegation cost me second place Resounding win by Rolled Oats. 12th overall too! Brava! 7529 Rolled Oats Anthony 5670 One Step At A Time Gav1866 5654 Non Che Male Donncha 5533 VeloKyniska Trevor Smith 5487 TTT Tryline 5438 Rob`s Rollers Rob B 5393 Mr E Men Monsieur Eley 5201 Pedalio Pussies Benjo 5190 Schlecht Brothers Slowman 4927 Stemsters Stem 4852 Wondering Why JGF 4646 Team Tally Ho PhatPom 4592 Hasbeen`s Heros Ex-hasbeen 4037 Clydesdale CC Sutta 3549 Where`s the Finish? Tim 3451 sme`s smugglers sme1414 3146 Abby`s Wheelsuckers Abby 3093 Giro d`Naut Naut
  6. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    Not quite. After a couple of crap stages in the middle of the race, Nibali was still only 1:41 down on Chavez, with a much stronger team at his disposal and far more experience. We forget that this was only Chavez's second grand tour and he faded quite badly in the final day, losing time to even Jungels and Majka. Even on the barnstorming Stage 19, Nibali climbed Risoul almost two minutes slower than he climbed it in the 2014 Tour, so he wasn't even going anywhere as fast as he's actually capable of. And on Stage 20, he only put 10 seconds into Valverde. If he was on top form he'd have smashed Valverde too. His comeback performances aren't out of this world and are just as likely due to him getting his head back in the game and performing to closer to his normal level, coupled with far superior team support.
  7. Donncha

    US Women's track bikes

    You mean the over-hyped current World Champions?
  8. Yep, it's mainly French housewives, which makes sense when you consider that the stages finish around 5pm each day.
  9. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    Oooooohhhhh, Benjo's lead down to 67pts...
  10. No. The announcement from SBS was that Keeno, Robbie AND P&P are doing the Tour. Tomo tweeted: "OFFICIAL: Matt Keenan + Robbie McEwewn to provide bulk of #sbscycling commentary of #TDF2016 alongside Phil Liggett + Paul Sherwin." I got the impression that that means Keeno & Robbie are doing the warm-up before handing over to P&P for the main event, so no real change, though maybe they'll hand over later?? SBS were obviously getting lots of heat on Twitter with questions asking whether Keeno & Robbie were doing the main gig, because Tomo ended up tweeting: "Phil LIggett + Paul Sherwen remain relevant to a wider #tdf audience. #sbscycling" i.e: the general audience love them so you cycling aficionados who don't need the same shit explained to you every 5 minutes just have to lump it
  11. Donncha

    Grand Tours Tipping Comp.

    Feeling confident of the podium, with a stretch goal of kicking PeePee out of 2nd. PeePee's Jungles, Pozzovivo & 400pt lead versus my Zakarin, Uran, Ulissi and Battaglin...
  12. Donncha

    The Future of Doping and Cheating

    Exactly. Your specific example asked why shouldn't EPO be allowed when Kenyans/Ethiopians have a natural advantage due to genetics, implying that EPO could level the playing field and help those without East African genetic heritage to compete. It can't. The East Africans just also take the drugs and those who are not gifted now will then need to take even more drugs, etc. etc. Your second argument that drugs are not damaging may or may not be true. Even if it is actually true right now, there's no guarantee that it will remain true once you open the floodgates and create a free-for-all, as the quantities ingested will increase dramatically.
  13. Donncha

    Milk

    Yes, the Betoota Advocate is a local version of The Onion. Some of their stories have been picked up by mainstream newspapers in the past, not realising it's satire
  14. Donncha

    The Future of Doping and Cheating

    Because the whole purpose of sport is to see who is the best at a given event. Using drugs to "even up the playing field" completely defeats the purpose of there being a playing field in the first place. Besides, your argument doesn't make any sense anyway. Using the example above, you're assuming that if an Aussie took shitloads of EPO he could compete with Kenyans/Ethiopians... ...but what happens if the Kenyans/Ethiopians take shitloads of EPO?
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